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Charlie Kolar

Charlie Kolar Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 14

Baltimore Ravens vs Pittsburgh Steelers

 
 
 
Charlie Kolar Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ -118 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ -115.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Opposing offenses have averaged 39.1 pass attempts per game versus the Pittsburgh Steelers defense this year: 4th-most in the NFL.
  • Charlie Kolar has been used less as a potential target this year (21.4% Route Participation Rate in games he has played) than he did last year (11.1%).
  • With a stellar 11.5 adjusted yards per target (96th percentile) this year, Charlie Kolar has been among the best pass-game TEs in football.
  • Charlie Kolar ranks as one of the best TEs in the league at grinding out extra yardage, averaging a terrific 4.47 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) since the start of last season while grading out in the 90th percentile.
  • This year, the poor Steelers defense has allowed a monstrous 66.0 adjusted receiving yards per game vs. opposing tight ends: the 4th-worst in the NFL.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Ravens are a 5.5-point favorite in this week's contest, likely leading to a running game script.
  • The model projects the Ravens as the 4th-least pass-oriented team on the slate this week with a 52.6% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • At a massive 30.21 seconds per snap, the Ravens offense comes in as the 3rd-slowest paced in the NFL (in a neutral context) this year.
  • The Ravens offensive line grades out as the 7th-worst in the league this year in protecting the passer, which has a negative impact on all passing attack statistics across the board.
  • The Steelers linebackers rank as the best group of LBs in the league this year when it comes to pass rush.

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