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CeeDee Lamb

CeeDee Lamb Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 9

Dallas Cowboys vs Arizona Cardinals

 
 
 
CeeDee Lamb Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+105/-108).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +100 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +105.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Dallas Cowboys have called the 10th-most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a monstrous 59.0 plays per game.
  • This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.
  • The Cardinals defense has been a prominent pass funnel this year, compelling opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 6th-most passes in the league (39.4 per game) this year.
  • Our trusted projections expect CeeDee Lamb to be a more important option in his team's pass game near the goal line in this week's contest (24.6% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been this year (14.3% in games he has played).
  • After accruing 81.0 air yards per game last year, CeeDee Lamb has been rising this year, now pacing 96.0 per game.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • With a 3.5-point advantage, the Cowboys are favored this week, indicating more of a focus on rushing than their normal approach.
  • The leading projections forecast the Cowboys as the 7th-most pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 60.9% pass rate, given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.
  • Based on the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this contest is forecasted by the predictive model to see only 131.2 plays on offense run: the fewest among all games this week.
  • The Dallas Cowboys offensive line profiles as the worst in the NFL this year in protecting the QB, which has a negative effect on all passing attack stats across the board.
  • The Cardinals defense has yielded the 2nd-fewest receiving touchdowns in the NFL to wide receivers: 0.43 per game this year.

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