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CeeDee Lamb Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-108/-105).
The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +107 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ -108.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
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The predictive model expects this game to have the 3rd-most plays run out of all the games this week at 132.2 plays, given the approaches of each team and game dynamics.The Cowboys have called the 2nd-most plays in football since the start of last season, totaling a colossal 61.3 plays per game.With an exceptional 27.1% Red Zone Target% (94th percentile) since the start of last season, CeeDee Lamb places among the wide receivers with the most usage near the goal line in the league.When it comes to air yards, CeeDee Lamb grades out in the towering 91st percentile among wideouts since the start of last season, averaging a colossal 89.0 per game.With a fantastic rate of 0.35 per game through the air (75th percentile), CeeDee Lamb ranks as one of the best receiving TD-scorers in the league among wide receivers since the start of last season.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
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At the moment, the 9th-most run-heavy offense in football near the end zone (45.7% in a neutral context) according to the predictive model is the Dallas Cowboys.The Cowboys have played in the 9th-most "low wind" (4-mph or less) games in the NFL since the start of last season, which should mean reduced pass volume, increased running volume, and reduced passing attack effectiveness when facing windier conditions in this game.Opposing QBs teams have been afraid to pass too much against the Chicago Bears, averaging the 5th-fewest attempts in the league (a lowly 29.8 per game) since the start of last season.The Cowboys are willing to include receivers in their ground game, and CeeDee Lamb has received 2.0% of red zone carries since the start of last season (0th among wide receivers).In regards to pass protection (and the effect it has on all pass attack statistics), the O-line of the Cowboys ranks as the 7th-worst in the NFL since the start of last season.
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