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CeeDee Lamb

CeeDee Lamb Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 11

Las Vegas Raiders vs Dallas Cowboys

 
 
 
CeeDee Lamb Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+114/-130).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -138 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -130.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The 9th-most plays in the NFL have been called by the Dallas Cowboys this year (a whopping 59.1 per game on average).
  • The passing games of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (read: no wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may suffer.
  • While CeeDee Lamb has garnered 21.7% of his team's red zone targets in games he has played this year, the projections expect him to be a much bigger part of Dallas's offense near the end zone in this contest at 26.7%.
  • After accruing 81.0 air yards per game last season, CeeDee Lamb has seen marked improvement this season, currently averaging 130.0 per game.
  • CeeDee Lamb's 73.3 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that assesses high-value offensive involvement) has been notably higher this year than it was last year at 61.8.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • This week's spread suggests a rushing game script for the Cowboys, who are favored by 3.5 points.
  • Given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Cowboys to pass on 59.4% of their plays: the 8th-greatest rate on the slate this week.
  • Given the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this game is predicted by the predictive model to have just 125.6 plays on offense called: the lowest number among all games this week.
  • As it relates to pass-blocking (and the effect it has on all pass attack statistics), the O-line of the Dallas Cowboys ranks as the worst in football this year.
  • CeeDee Lamb's possession skills have declined this season, with his Adjusted Catch% shrinking from 68.6% to 65.1%.

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