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CeeDee Lamb Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (+106/-108).
The money has been on the Over as it opened 6.5 @ +100 before it was bet up to 6.5 @ +106.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
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The predictive model expects this game to have the 3rd-most plays run out of all the games this week at 132.2 plays, given the approaches of each team and game dynamics.The Cowboys have called the 2nd-most plays in football since the start of last season, totaling a colossal 61.3 plays per game.This week, CeeDee Lamb is expected by our trusted projection set to land in the 96th percentile among wideouts with 9.8 targets.With an elite 27.7% Target Share (95th percentile) since the start of last season, CeeDee Lamb ranks as one of the wide receivers with the highest volume in football.CeeDee Lamb has been one of the leading pass-catching wide receivers since the start of last season, averaging an excellent 6.8 adjusted receptions per game while grading out in the 97th percentile.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
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The Cowboys have played in the 9th-most "low wind" (4-mph or less) games in the NFL since the start of last season, which should mean reduced pass volume, increased running volume, and reduced passing attack effectiveness when facing windier conditions in this game.Opposing QBs teams have been afraid to pass too much against the Chicago Bears, averaging the 5th-fewest attempts in the league (a lowly 29.8 per game) since the start of last season.In regards to pass protection (and the effect it has on all pass attack statistics), the O-line of the Cowboys ranks as the 7th-worst in the NFL since the start of last season.
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