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CeeDee Lamb

CeeDee Lamb Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 7

Dallas Cowboys vs Washington Commanders

 
 
 
CeeDee Lamb Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 76.5 (-145/+105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 75.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 76.5 @ -145.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Cowboys to pass on 61.8% of their chances: the 4th-highest rate among all teams this week.
  • The predictive model expects this game to see the 3rd-largest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 131.3 plays, accounting for the approaches of each team and game dynamics.
  • The 9th-highest number of plays in the NFL have been called by the Dallas Cowboys this year (a staggering 59.0 per game on average).
  • This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.
  • This week, CeeDee Lamb is expected by the projection model to place in the 83rd percentile among wide receivers with 7.3 targets.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • CeeDee Lamb's 50.5 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that examines high-value offensive usage) has been notably lower this season than it was last season at 61.8.
  • When it comes to pocket protection (and the importance it has on all passing offense metrics), the O-line of the Cowboys profiles as the 4th-worst in the NFL this year.
  • CeeDee Lamb's 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this season indicates a noteworthy decline in his effectiveness in space over last season's 4.7% rate.

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