CeeDee Lamb Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 17

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CeeDee Lamb

NFL · Player Props

CeeDee Lamb

WR · Dallas Cowboys

Receiving Yards

Washington Commanders vs Dallas Cowboys · Week 17, 2025

Updated Dec 26, 2025 12:37 AM EST

Analysis

CeeDee Lamb Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 79.5 (-145/+110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 79.5 @ -130 before it was bet up to 79.5 @ -145.

Key Factors

Favors Over

At the moment, the 9th-most pass-oriented team in football (62.4% adjusted for context) according to the predictive model is the Dallas Cowboys.
Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Dallas Cowboys are anticipated by our trusted projection set to call 66.9 offensive plays in this contest: the 4th-most on the slate this week.
The 6th-largest volume of plays in the NFL have been run by the Cowboys this year (a massive 59.8 per game on average).
Our trusted projections expect CeeDee Lamb to garner 8.9 targets this week, on balance, putting him in the 95th percentile when it comes to wideouts.
CeeDee Lamb has been a key part of his team's passing attack, posting a Target Share of 26.5% this year, which puts him in the 91st percentile when it comes to wideouts.

Favors Under

This game's line implies a running game script for the Cowboys, who are favored by 6.5 points.
The Dallas O-line ranks as the worst in the league this year in protecting the QB, which has a harmful influence on all passing game statistics across the board.
CeeDee Lamb's skills in picking up extra yardage have tailed off this year, notching a measly 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) compared to a 4.67 rate last year.

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