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CeeDee Lamb

CeeDee Lamb Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 16

Dallas Cowboys vs Los Angeles Chargers

 
 
 
CeeDee Lamb Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 79.5 (-120/-110).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Cowboys to pass on 60.7% of their chances: the 6th-highest rate among all teams this week.
  • The Dallas Cowboys have run the 7th-most plays in the league this year, totaling a massive 60.3 plays per game.
  • The pass games of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (read: no wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may drop.
  • The predictive model expects CeeDee Lamb to accumulate 9.2 targets in this game, on balance, putting him in the 95th percentile among wide receivers.
  • CeeDee Lamb has been a key part of his team's passing attack, garnering a Target Share of 26.8% this year, which ranks him in the 92nd percentile when it comes to wide receivers.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Accounting for the game dynamics and approaches of each team, our trusted projections expect this game (with an average of 26.69 seconds per play) will have the 11th-slowest tempo on the slate this week.
  • Opposing teams have averaged 31.2 pass attempts per game versus the Los Angeles Chargers defense this year: 8th-fewest in the league.
  • The Cowboys O-line grades out as the worst in the NFL this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a negative effect on all pass game stats across the board.
  • CeeDee Lamb's 64.2% Adjusted Catch Rate this year represents a noteworthy diminishment in his pass-catching proficiency over last year's 68.6% mark.
  • CeeDee Lamb's talent in generating extra yardage have worsened this season, totaling a measly 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) vs a 4.67 mark last season.

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