CeeDee Lamb Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 11

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CeeDee Lamb

NFL · Player Props

CeeDee Lamb

WR · Dallas Cowboys

Receiving Yards

Las Vegas Raiders vs Dallas Cowboys · Week 11, 2025

Updated Nov 18, 2025 1:07 AM EST

Analysis

CeeDee Lamb Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 85.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 85.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 85.5 @ -130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The 9th-most plays in the NFL have been called by the Dallas Cowboys this year (a whopping 59.1 per game on average).
The passing games of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (read: no wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may suffer.
The leading projections forecast CeeDee Lamb to garner 9.4 targets in this week's game, on balance, ranking him in the 94th percentile when it comes to WRs.
After accruing 81.0 air yards per game last season, CeeDee Lamb has seen marked improvement this season, currently averaging 130.0 per game.
CeeDee Lamb's 73.3 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that assesses high-value offensive involvement) has been notably higher this year than it was last year at 61.8.

Favors Under

This week's spread suggests a rushing game script for the Cowboys, who are favored by 3.5 points.
Given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Cowboys to pass on 59.4% of their plays: the 8th-greatest rate on the slate this week.
Given the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this game is predicted by the predictive model to have just 125.6 plays on offense called: the lowest number among all games this week.
As it relates to pass-blocking (and the effect it has on all pass attack statistics), the O-line of the Dallas Cowboys ranks as the worst in football this year.
CeeDee Lamb's possession skills have declined this season, with his Adjusted Catch% shrinking from 68.6% to 65.1%.

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