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CeeDee Lamb

CeeDee Lamb Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 1

Philadelphia Eagles vs Dallas Cowboys

CeeDee Lamb Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 72.5 (-135/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 72.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 72.5 @ -135.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

This game's line suggests an extreme throwing game script for the Cowboys, who are big -7.5-point underdogs.

Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Dallas Cowboys to pass on 61.4% of their chances: the 4th-greatest frequency among all teams this week.

At the moment, the 8th-quickest paced team in football (adjusted for context) according to our trusted projection set is the Cowboys.

In this game, CeeDee Lamb is anticipated by the projections to land in the 94th percentile when it comes to WRs with 9.0 targets.

With a remarkable 27.5% Target Share (96th percentile) last year, CeeDee Lamb places as one of the wide receivers with the biggest workloads in the NFL.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Dallas's passing stats last year may be artificially propped up a bit (and running stats too low) as a result of playing the 9th-most "low wind" (4-mph or less) games in the league. We figure to be able to count on some correction with windier weather this week.

Opposing QBs have averaged 31.1 pass attempts per game vs. the Eagles defense last year: 10th-fewest in the NFL.

The Cowboys O-line profiles as the 10th-worst in the NFL last year in protecting the passer, which has a harmful influence on all passing offense stats across the board.

Last year, the formidable Philadelphia Eagles defense has given up a meager 124.0 adjusted receiving yards per game vs. opposing WRs: the 3rd-best in the league.

The Philadelphia Eagles pass defense has displayed strong efficiency vs. wideouts last year, allowing 7.47 adjusted yards-per-target to the position: the 2nd-fewest in the league.

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