CeeDee Lamb Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 14

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CeeDee Lamb

NFL · Player Props

CeeDee Lamb

WR · Dallas Cowboys

Receiving Yards

Dallas Cowboys vs Houston Texans · Week 14, 2022

Updated Dec 11, 2022 6:01 PM UTC

Analysis

CeeDee Lamb Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 69.5 (-110/-110).

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects this game to see the most plays run among all games this week at 136.8 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.
THE BLITZ projects CeeDee Lamb to accumulate 8.9 targets in this week's contest, on average, putting him in the 91st percentile among WRs.
CeeDee Lamb has posted quite a few more air yards this season (101.0 per game) than he did last season (79.0 per game).
CeeDee Lamb's 75.5 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume statistic that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been quite a bit better this season than it was last season at 47.4.

Favors Under

The Cowboys are a big 17.5-point favorite in this week's game, which points towards an extreme rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Dallas Cowboys as the 2nd-least pass-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 51.1% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 32.1 pass attempts per game versus the Houston Texans defense this year: least in football.
The Houston Texans defense has surrendered the 7th-least receiving yards per game in the league (just 137.0) versus wide receivers this year.
The Houston Texans pass defense has conceded the 4th-lowest Completion% in the league (62.7%) versus wideouts this year (62.7%).

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