Cedrick Wilson Touchdowns - Player Prop Bet Week 16

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Cedrick Wilson

NFL · Player Props

Cedrick Wilson

WR · Miami Dolphins

Touchdowns

Miami Dolphins vs Cincinnati Bengals · Week 16, 2025

Updated Dec 21, 2025 9:07 PM UTC

Analysis

Cedrick Wilson Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+950/-2400).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +3300 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +950.

Key Factors

Favors Over

This week's spread suggests a throwing game script for the Dolphins, who are -3.5-point underdogs.
The Cincinnati Bengals pass defense has been gouged for the 10th-highest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (66.5%) vs. WRs this year (66.5%).
As it relates to linebackers in pass coverage, Cincinnati's unit has been lousy this year, profiling as the 2nd-worst in football.

Favors Under

The leading projections forecast the Miami Dolphins as the 7th-least pass-centric team on the slate this week with a 54.1% pass rate, based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.
The leading projections forecast this game to see the lowest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 122.6 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Miami Dolphins have called the 3rd-fewest plays in the league this year, averaging a mere 51.9 plays per game.
After averaging 16.0 air yards per game last year, Cedrick Wilson Jr. has regressed heavily this year, now sitting at 5.0 per game.
Cedrick Wilson Jr.'s 5.5 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that measures high-value offensive volume) has been substantially worse this year than it was last year at 13.9.

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