Cedrick Wilson Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+990/-3000).
Key Factors
Favors Over
Opposing offenses have completed passes at the 7th-highest level in the league versus the Saints defense this year (73.7% Adjusted Completion%).
This year, the feeble Saints defense has yielded a colossal 1.18 TDs through the air per game to opposing wide receivers: the 2nd-highest rate in the NFL.
Favors Under
The Dolphins are a 5.5-point favorite in this week's contest, likely creating a running game script.
Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Dolphins to pass on 54.6% of their opportunities: the 10th-lowest rate among all teams this week.
Right now, the most sluggish paced offense in football (in a neutral context) according to the projections is the Miami Dolphins.
The forecast calls for 13-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means lower pass volume (and increased run volume) and lessened passing effectiveness.
Opposing quarterbacks teams have been afraid to pass too much against the Saints, totaling the fewest attempts in football (a measly 28.6 per game) this year.