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Cedrick Wilson

Cedrick Wilson Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 18

New England Patriots vs Miami Dolphins

 
 
 
Cedrick Wilson Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 20.5 (-111/-111).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • At a -14.5-point disadvantage, the Dolphins are massive underdogs in this week's game, suggesting much more of an emphasis on moving the ball through the air than their typical approach.
  • Accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Miami Dolphins to pass on 58.2% of their downs: the 10th-highest clip on the slate this week.
  • The weather forecast calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means higher pass volume, and lower run volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
  • Our trusted projections expect Cedrick Wilson Jr. to be a much bigger part of his team's pass game in this week's game (10.3% projected Target Share) than he has been this year (3.2% in games he has played).
  • Cedrick Wilson Jr. grades out as one of the best wide receivers in the league at picking up extra yardage, averaging an exceptional 3.56 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) since the start of last season while grading out in the 83rd percentile.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The model projects the Dolphins to call the 5th-fewest total plays on the slate this week with 62.3 plays, accounting for their underlying propensities and game dynamics.
  • The Miami Dolphins have run the 2nd-fewest plays in the league this year, totaling a lowly 51.8 plays per game.
  • After accumulating 16.0 air yards per game last season, Cedrick Wilson Jr. has seen a big downtick this season, currently pacing 6.0 per game.
  • When it comes to protecting the passer (and the influence it has on all air attack stats), the offensive line of the Miami Dolphins profiles as the worst in the NFL this year.
  • Cedrick Wilson Jr. has notched quite a few less adjusted receiving yards per game (8.0) this year than he did last year (21.0).

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