Cedrick Wilson Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 8

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Cedrick Wilson

NFL · Player Props

Cedrick Wilson

WR · Miami Dolphins

Receiving Yards

Miami Dolphins vs New England Patriots · Week 8, 2023

Updated Oct 29, 2023 5:02 PM EST

Analysis

Cedrick Wilson Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-110/-110).

Key Factors

Favors Over

At the present time, the 7th-most pass-oriented team in the NFL (63.7% adjusted for context) according to the projections is the Miami Dolphins.
Cedrick Wilson has run fewer routes this year (36.5% Route Participation Rate in games he has played) than he did last year (23.5%).
After accruing 12.0 air yards per game last year, Cedrick Wilson has shown good development this year, now sitting at 22.0 per game.
Cedrick Wilson checks in as one of the best possession receivers in football, catching a stellar 73.1% of passes thrown his way (adjusted for context) since the start of last season, grading out in the 77th percentile among WRs.
With an excellent 10.0 adjusted yards per target (87th percentile) since the start of last season, Cedrick Wilson has been among the top WRs in the league in the league.

Favors Under

The Dolphins are an enormous 8.5-point favorite this week, likely leading to an extreme rushing game script.
At the moment, the 9th-slowest paced team in the NFL (adjusted for context) according to the projections is the Miami Dolphins.
The weather report calls for 13-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means lower pass volume (and increased run volume) and lessened passing effectiveness.
The New England Patriots defense has allowed the 9th-fewest adjusted receiving yards per game in the NFL (just 140.0) to wide receivers this year.
The Patriots pass defense has been quite strong when opposing wide receivers have gotten into space, yielding an average of 3.80 yards-after-the-catch this year: the 8th-fewest in the league.

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