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Cedrick Wilson

Cedrick Wilson Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 8

Miami Dolphins vs New England Patriots

 
 
 
Cedrick Wilson Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-110/-110).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • At the present time, the 7th-most pass-oriented team in the NFL (63.7% adjusted for context) according to the projections is the Miami Dolphins.
  • Cedrick Wilson has run fewer routes this year (36.5% Route Participation Rate in games he has played) than he did last year (23.5%).
  • After accruing 12.0 air yards per game last year, Cedrick Wilson has shown good development this year, now sitting at 22.0 per game.
  • Cedrick Wilson checks in as one of the best possession receivers in football, catching a stellar 73.1% of passes thrown his way (adjusted for context) since the start of last season, grading out in the 77th percentile among WRs.
  • With an excellent 10.0 adjusted yards per target (87th percentile) since the start of last season, Cedrick Wilson has been among the top WRs in the league in the league.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Dolphins are an enormous 8.5-point favorite this week, likely leading to an extreme rushing game script.
  • At the moment, the 9th-slowest paced team in the NFL (adjusted for context) according to the projections is the Miami Dolphins.
  • The weather report calls for 13-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means lower pass volume (and increased run volume) and lessened passing effectiveness.
  • The New England Patriots defense has allowed the 9th-fewest adjusted receiving yards per game in the NFL (just 140.0) to wide receivers this year.
  • The Patriots pass defense has been quite strong when opposing wide receivers have gotten into space, yielding an average of 3.80 yards-after-the-catch this year: the 8th-fewest in the league.

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