Cedrick Wilson Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 6

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Cedrick Wilson

NFL · Player Props

Cedrick Wilson

WR · Miami Dolphins

Receiving Yards

Miami Dolphins vs Carolina Panthers · Week 6, 2023

Updated Oct 15, 2023 8:06 PM UTC

Analysis

Cedrick Wilson Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 19.5 (+112/-148).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 14.5 @ -117 before it was bet up to 19.5 @ +112.

Key Factors

Favors Over

With an excellent 6.18 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) (85th percentile) since the start of last season, Cedrick Wilson rates among the best wide receivers in the game in the NFL in the open field.
The Panthers pass defense has been vulnerable when opposing WRs have gotten into space, conceding an average of 4.90 yards-after-the-catch this year: the 9th-most in the NFL.
As it relates to cornerbacks in covering pass-catchers, Carolina's unit has been atrocious this year, grading out as the 5th-worst in the NFL.

Favors Under

The Dolphins are a giant 14-point favorite in this week's contest, indicating an extreme rushing game script.
The model projects the Miami Dolphins to be the 7th-least pass-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 54.9% pass rate, accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.
The leading projections forecast the Miami Dolphins offense to be the 8th-most sluggish paced team in football (context-neutralized) right now, averaging 29.19 seconds per play.
Opposing quarterbacks teams have been unwilling to test the pass defense of the Carolina Panthers, averaging the 5th-fewest attempts in the league (a measly 30.6 per game) this year.
As it relates to air yards, Cedrick Wilson grades out in the measly 22nd percentile among wideouts since the start of last season, with just 13.0 per game.

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