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Cedrick Wilson

Cedrick Wilson Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 13

San Francisco 49ers vs Miami Dolphins

 
 
 
Cedrick Wilson Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-110/-115).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Miami Dolphins will have a new play-caller this season in head coach Mike McDaniel, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to tilt 1.3% more towards passing than it did last season (adjusted for context).
  • The Dolphins are a big 14-point favorite in this week's game, which points towards an extreme rushing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Miami Dolphins to be the 5th-most pass-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 65.5% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • The San Francisco 49ers pass defense has conceded the 7th-highest Completion% in the league (70.2%) versus WRs this year (70.2%).
  • The San Francisco 49ers pass defense has exhibited weak efficiency versus wideouts this year, surrendering 9.10 yards-per-target to the position: the 8th-most in the NFL.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Dolphins to run the 2nd-least plays on offense on the slate this week with 61.6 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • The Miami Dolphins have called the 10th-least plays in the NFL this year, totaling a measly 56.1 plays per game.
  • Cedrick Wilson has been a much smaller piece of his team's air attack this season (3.9% Target Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last season (11.5%).
  • Cedrick Wilson has accumulated far fewer air yards this season (14.0 per game) than he did last season (45.0 per game).
  • The Miami Dolphins O-line grades out as the 7th-worst in football this year in protecting the passer, which has a negative effect on all passing attack statistics across the board.

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