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Cedric Tillman Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 17

Cleveland Browns vs Pittsburgh Steelers

Cedric Tillman Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+910/-1900).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +950 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +910.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

This week's line suggests a passing game script for the Browns, who are -4-point underdogs.

The model projects this game to have the 3rd-largest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 132.9 plays, accounting for the approaches of each team and game dynamics.

The Steelers defense has been a prominent pass funnel this year, inciting opposing QBs to attempt the 3rd-most passes in the league (39.1 per game) this year.

Opposing QBs have completed passes at the 7th-highest rate in the league versus the Steelers defense this year (72.2% Adjusted Completion%).

Opposing offenses have run for the 3rd-fewest TDs in the league (0.67 per game) vs. the Pittsburgh Steelers defense this year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Windy weather conditions (like the 14-mph being forecasted in this game) generally mean worse passing effectiveness, reduced air volume, and increased ground volume.

After totaling 50.0 air yards per game last year, Cedric Tillman has gotten worse this year, currently boasting 38.0 per game.

The Cleveland O-line grades out as the worst in the NFL this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a harmful influence on all passing offense statistics across the board.

Cedric Tillman's 53.2% Adjusted Catch Rate this season conveys a meaningful reduction in his receiving prowess over last season's 65.9% figure.

The Pittsburgh cornerbacks profile as the 2nd-best CB corps in the league this year in defending pass-catchers.

More Cedric Tillman Player Props

Cedric Tillman TouchdownsPlayer Prop Week 17

Cleveland Browns vs Pittsburgh Steelers

Cedric Tillman Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 17