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Cedric Tillman Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 16

Cleveland Browns vs Buffalo Bills

Cedric Tillman Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+840/-1100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +940 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +840.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

At a -10.5-point disadvantage, the Browns are giant underdogs in this game, indicating much more of a reliance on passing than their usual approach.

Based on the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this contest is anticipated by the model to see 131.0 offensive plays run: the 5th-highest number among all games this week.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Right now, the 10th-least pass-centric offense in the league (58.8% adjusted for context) according to our trusted projection set is the Browns.

Windy weather conditions (like the 12-mph being called for in this game) generally lead to decreased passing effectiveness, lower air volume, and higher run volume.

Opposing offenses have averaged 29.1 pass attempts per game versus the Buffalo Bills defense this year: 2nd-fewest in football.

Cedric Tillman has put up significantly fewer air yards this year (41.0 per game) than he did last year (50.0 per game).

In regards to pocket protection (and the effect it has on all pass attack statistics), the O-line of the Cleveland Browns grades out as the 3rd-worst in the NFL this year.

More Cedric Tillman Player Props

Cedric Tillman TouchdownsPlayer Prop Week 16

Cleveland Browns vs Buffalo Bills

Cedric Tillman Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 16