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Cedric Tillman

Cedric Tillman Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 14

Cleveland Browns vs Tennessee Titans

 
 
 
Cedric Tillman Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+495/-780).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -790 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -780.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Cleveland Browns are forecasted by the projections to call 66.8 total plays in this contest: the 3rd-most among all teams this week.
  • The Cleveland Browns have called the 10th-most plays in football this year, totaling a colossal 58.8 plays per game.
  • Cedric Tillman has been an integral part of his team's passing attack near the end zone, earning a Red Zone Target Share of 19.0% this year, which ranks in the 83rd percentile when it comes to wide receivers.
  • This year, the feeble Titans pass defense has surrendered a staggering 72.3% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing WRs: the highest rate in the NFL.
  • The Tennessee cornerbacks profile as the worst group of CBs in the NFL this year in defending receivers.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • With a 3.5-point advantage, the Browns are favored this week, implying more of a focus on rushing than their usual game plan.
  • The projections expect the Cleveland Browns as the 2nd-least pass-focused offense on the slate this week with a 47.2% pass rate, based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.
  • Windy weather conditions (like the 13-mph being forecasted in this game) typically correlate with worse passing effectiveness, reduced air volume, and higher run volume.
  • Opposing QBs have averaged 31.0 pass attempts per game vs. the Tennessee Titans defense this year: 6th-fewest in the NFL.
  • After totaling 50.0 air yards per game last season, Cedric Tillman has been a disappointment this season, currently averaging 43.0 per game.

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