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Cedric Tillman

Cedric Tillman Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 13

Cleveland Browns vs San Francisco 49ers

 
 
 
Cedric Tillman Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+610/-1050).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -750 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -1050.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • At a -5.5-point disadvantage, the Browns are underdogs in this week's game, indicating more of an emphasis on throwing than their usual game plan.
  • Based on the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this contest is projected by our trusted projection set to see 133.1 total plays called: the 2nd-most on the slate this week.
  • Opposing teams have averaged 36.4 pass attempts per game versus the San Francisco 49ers defense this year: 8th-most in the NFL.
  • With an extraordinary 19.0% Red Zone Target Share (82nd percentile) this year, Cedric Tillman ranks among the WRs with the biggest workloads near the goal line in football.
  • The San Francisco 49ers pass defense has conceded the 8th-highest Adjusted Completion% in the league (67.7%) vs. wide receivers this year (67.7%).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Our trusted projections expect the Cleveland Browns as the 6th-least pass-centric offense among all teams this week with a 53.1% pass rate, given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.
  • The forecast calls for 26-mph wind in this game. High wind usually means reduced pass volume (and higher run volume) and worse passing efficiency.
  • The Browns offensive line ranks as the worst in the NFL this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a negative impact on all pass attack metrics across the board.
  • Cedric Tillman's 55.7% Adjusted Catch% this year represents an impressive diminishment in his receiving proficiency over last year's 65.9% mark.
  • The San Francisco 49ers defensive tackles project as the worst unit in the NFL this year when it comes to stopping the run.

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