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Cedric Tillman Receptions
Player Prop Week 4

Detroit Lions vs Cleveland Browns

Cedric Tillman Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+111/-118).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ +117 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ +111.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Browns are a huge 10-point underdog in this game, likely creating an extreme passing game script.

The predictive model expects the Browns to be the most pass-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 67.2% pass rate, based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.

The Cleveland Browns have run the most plays in the NFL since the start of last season, averaging a monstrous 62.2 plays per game.

The pass attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (meaning no wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may suffer.

The Lions defense has been a prominent pass funnel since the start of last season, leading opposing offenses to attempt the 7th-most passes in football (34.5 per game) since the start of last season.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The projections expect the Browns to call the 10th-fewest plays on offense on the slate this week with 63.0 plays, based on their underlying play style and game dynamics.

Cedric Tillman's sure-handedness have tailed off this season, with his Adjusted Completion Rate falling off from 65.9% to 57.1%.

The Lions pass defense has conceded the 8th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (63.5%) vs. wide receivers since the start of last season (63.5%).

More Cedric Tillman Player Props

Cedric Tillman ReceptionsPlayer Prop Week 4

Detroit Lions vs Cleveland Browns

Cedric Tillman Receptions
Player Prop Week 4