reorder

Cedric Tillman Receptions
Player Prop Week 17

Cleveland Browns vs Pittsburgh Steelers

Cedric Tillman Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+132/-169).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ +133 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ +132.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

This week's line suggests a passing game script for the Browns, who are -4-point underdogs.

The model projects this game to have the 3rd-largest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 132.9 plays, accounting for the approaches of each team and game dynamics.

The Steelers defense has been a prominent pass funnel this year, inciting opposing QBs to attempt the 3rd-most passes in the league (39.1 per game) this year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Windy weather conditions (like the 14-mph being forecasted in this game) generally mean worse passing effectiveness, reduced air volume, and increased ground volume.

The Cleveland O-line grades out as the worst in the NFL this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a harmful influence on all passing offense statistics across the board.

Cedric Tillman's 1.6 adjusted receptions per game this season conveys an impressive regression in his receiving prowess over last season's 3.3 figure.

Cedric Tillman's 53.2% Adjusted Catch Rate this season conveys a meaningful reduction in his receiving prowess over last season's 65.9% figure.

The Pittsburgh cornerbacks profile as the 2nd-best CB corps in the league this year in defending pass-catchers.

More Cedric Tillman Player Props

Cedric Tillman ReceptionsPlayer Prop Week 17

Cleveland Browns vs Pittsburgh Steelers

Cedric Tillman Receptions
Player Prop Week 17