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Cedric Tillman Receptions
Player Prop Week 10

New York Jets vs Cleveland Browns

Cedric Tillman Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ +100 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ +100.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this game is anticipated by the model to see 131.0 plays on offense called: the 5th-highest number among all games this week.

The Cleveland Browns have called the 4th-most plays in football this year, averaging a massive 60.5 plays per game.

Cedric Tillman has been used less as a potential target this season (75.4% Route Participation Rate in games he has been on the field) than he did last season (56.7%).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The projections expect the Browns as the 7th-least pass-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 54.2% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

In regards to protecting the passer (and the effect it has on all pass attack statistics), the O-line of the Browns profiles as the worst in the NFL this year.

Cedric Tillman's receiving performance has diminished this season, notching a measly 2.3 adjusted catches compared to 3.3 last season.

Cedric Tillman's receiving reliability have tailed off this season, with his Adjusted Completion Rate decreasing from 65.9% to 56.8%.

The New York Jets cornerbacks grade out as the 4th-best group of CBs in football this year in covering receivers.

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Cedric Tillman ReceptionsPlayer Prop Week 10

New York Jets vs Cleveland Browns

Cedric Tillman Receptions
Player Prop Week 10