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Cedric Tillman

Cedric Tillman Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 18

Cincinnati Bengals vs Cleveland Browns

 
 
 
Cedric Tillman Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 22.5 (-111/-111).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 27.5 @ -111 before it was bet down to 22.5 @ -111.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Browns are a 3-point underdog this week, indicating a passing game script.
  • The leading projections forecast the Browns offense to be the 7th-fastest paced team in the NFL (adjusted for context) at the moment, averaging 27.24 seconds per snap.
  • The pass games of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the calm weather conditions (2-mph wind) being predicted in this game, while rush volume may go down.
  • This year, the anemic Cincinnati Bengals defense has allowed the 7th-most adjusted yards-per-target in the NFL to opposing WRs: a massive 8.59 yards.
  • As it relates to linebackers in defending receivers, Cincinnati's unit has been dreadful this year, profiling as the 2nd-worst in the league.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Cedric Tillman has put up far fewer air yards this year (37.0 per game) than he did last year (50.0 per game).
  • When it comes to pass protection (and the significance it has on all passing attack statistics), the offensive line of the Browns grades out as the 2nd-worst in the NFL this year.
  • Cedric Tillman has posted many fewer adjusted receiving yards per game (20.0) this season than he did last season (41.0).
  • Cedric Tillman's receiving reliability have worsened this year, with his Adjusted Catch Rate decreasing from 65.9% to 54.1%.
  • Cedric Tillman's 7.0 adjusted yards per target this season indicates a significant reduction in his receiving proficiency over last season's 8.1 figure.

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