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Cedric Tillman

Cedric Tillman Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 17

Cleveland Browns vs Pittsburgh Steelers

 
 
 
Cedric Tillman Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-111/-108).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 11.5 @ -108 before it was bet down to 11.5 @ -108.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • This week's line suggests a passing game script for the Browns, who are -4-point underdogs.
  • The model projects this game to have the 3rd-largest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 132.9 plays, accounting for the approaches of each team and game dynamics.
  • The Steelers defense has been a prominent pass funnel this year, inciting opposing QBs to attempt the 3rd-most passes in the league (39.1 per game) this year.
  • The Steelers defense has conceded the 6th-most adjusted receiving yards per game in the league (161.0) vs. wideouts this year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Windy weather conditions (like the 14-mph being forecasted in this game) generally mean worse passing effectiveness, reduced air volume, and increased ground volume.
  • After totaling 50.0 air yards per game last year, Cedric Tillman has gotten worse this year, currently boasting 38.0 per game.
  • The Cleveland O-line grades out as the worst in the NFL this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a harmful influence on all passing offense statistics across the board.
  • Cedric Tillman has posted a lot fewer adjusted receiving yards per game (19.0) this year than he did last year (41.0).
  • Cedric Tillman's 53.2% Adjusted Catch Rate this season conveys a meaningful reduction in his receiving prowess over last season's 65.9% figure.

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