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Cedric Tillman

Cedric Tillman Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 12

Las Vegas Raiders vs Cleveland Browns

 
 
 
Cedric Tillman Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 21.5 (-105/-127).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 28.5 @ -117 before it was bet down to 21.5 @ -127.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • A passing game script is implied by the Browns being a -4-point underdog in this game.
  • The 5th-highest number of plays in the NFL have been called by the Cleveland Browns this year (a monstrous 60.5 per game on average).
  • The passing offenses of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (as in no wind) inside this dome, while run volume may drop.
  • Cedric Tillman has been less involved as a potential pass-catcher this season (84.8% Route Participation% in games he has been on the field) than he did last season (56.7%).
  • This year, the poor Las Vegas Raiders pass defense has allowed a monstrous 69.9% Adjusted Completion Rate vs. opposing WRs: the 4th-biggest rate in the league.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Our trusted projections expect the Cleveland Browns to be the 8th-least pass-heavy team in the league (adjusted for context) right now with a 58.3% pass rate.
  • Based on the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this contest is predicted by the projection model to see only 125.3 plays on offense run: the fewest on the slate this week.
  • The Cleveland Browns offensive line profiles as the worst in the league this year in protecting the passer, which has a negative influence on all passing offense metrics across the board.
  • Cedric Tillman has notched quite a few less adjusted receiving yards per game (29.0) this season than he did last season (41.0).
  • Cedric Tillman's 58.7% Adjusted Completion% this year indicates a substantial decrease in his receiving ability over last year's 65.9% rate.

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