reorder

Cedric Tillman Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 10

New York Jets vs Cleveland Browns

Cedric Tillman Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 25.5 (-135/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 23.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 25.5 @ -135.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this game is anticipated by the model to see 131.0 plays on offense called: the 5th-highest number among all games this week.

The Cleveland Browns have called the 4th-most plays in football this year, averaging a massive 60.5 plays per game.

Cedric Tillman has been used less as a potential target this season (75.4% Route Participation Rate in games he has been on the field) than he did last season (56.7%).

The New York Jets pass defense has displayed poor efficiency versus WRs this year, conceding 8.76 adjusted yards-per-target to the position: the 8th-most in football.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The projections expect the Browns as the 7th-least pass-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 54.2% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

In regards to protecting the passer (and the effect it has on all pass attack statistics), the O-line of the Browns profiles as the worst in the NFL this year.

Cedric Tillman's 26.0 adjusted yards per game through the air this year indicates a noteworthy decrease in his receiving talent over last year's 41.0 figure.

Cedric Tillman's receiving reliability have tailed off this season, with his Adjusted Completion Rate decreasing from 65.9% to 56.8%.

Cedric Tillman's 6.4 adjusted yards per target this season indicates a noteworthy diminishment in his receiving skills over last season's 8.1 rate.

More Cedric Tillman Player Props

Cedric Tillman Receiving YardsPlayer Prop Week 10

New York Jets vs Cleveland Browns

Cedric Tillman Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 10