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Case Keenum

Case Keenum Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 16

Houston Texans vs Cleveland Browns

 
 
 
Case Keenum Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-108/-120).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The projections expect the Texans to be the 10th-most run-centric offense in the NFL (context-neutralized) right now with a 41.0% run rate.
  • Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this contest is projected by the projection model to see 136.0 total plays run: the 2nd-highest number among all games this week.
  • The leading projections forecast Case Keenum to be a more integral piece of his offense's running game in this week's contest (10.0% projected Carry Share) than he has been since the start of last season (3.9% in games he has played).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • At a -3-point disadvantage, the Texans are underdogs in this week's contest, implying more of a reliance on throwing than their usual game plan.
  • This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
  • In this week's game, Case Keenum is expected by our trusted projection set to garner the 11th-fewest rush attempts out of all QBs with 2.8.
  • In regards to blocking for ball-carriers (and the significance it has on all run game metrics), the offensive line of the Texans profiles as the 2nd-worst in the NFL last year.
  • The Cleveland Browns defense boasts the 9th-best efficiency against opposing run games this year, giving up just 4.08 adjusted yards-per-carry (YPC).

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