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Carson Wentz

Carson Wentz Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 3

Minnesota Vikings vs Cincinnati Bengals

 
 
 
Carson Wentz Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+590/-750).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +600 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +590.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Vikings will be forced to start backup quarterback Carson Wentz in this week's contest, which typically means fewer pass attempts and more rushing.
  • Our trusted projections expect the Minnesota Vikings to be the 4th-most pass-oriented offense in the NFL near the goal line (in a neutral context) at the moment with a 60.9% red zone pass rate.
  • The air attacks of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (read: zero wind) inside this dome, while run volume may suffer.
  • Opposing teams have averaged 34.5 pass attempts per game vs. the Bengals defense since the start of last season: 7th-most in football.
  • Since the start of last season, the deficient Cincinnati Bengals defense has been torched for a monstrous 1.68 passing TDs per game to opposing quarterbacks: the 5th-worst rate in football.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • A rushing game script is implied by the Vikings being a 3-point favorite in this week's game.
  • The leading projections forecast the Minnesota Vikings to be the 3rd-slowest paced defense in the NFL (in a neutral context) at the present time, causing opposing offenses to average 29.13 seconds per play.
  • The leading projections forecast Carson Wentz to be much more involved in his offense's run game near the end zone in this week's contest (18.0% projected Red Zone Carry Share) than he has been last year (0.0% in games he has played).
  • The opposing side have rushed for the 9th-most TDs in the league (1.11 per game) vs. the Bengals defense since the start of last season.
  • As it relates to safeties in covering receivers, Cincinnati's collection of safeties has been outstanding since the start of last season, profiling as the 7th-best in football.

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