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Carson Wentz

Carson Wentz TD Passes
Player Prop Week 7

Minnesota Vikings vs Philadelphia Eagles

Carson Wentz TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+110/-140).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ -137 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ -140.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Minnesota Vikings will be rolling out backup quarterback Carson Wentz in this contest, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rush attempts.

Based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Minnesota Vikings to pass on 62.7% of their plays: the 3rd-greatest frequency on the slate this week.

The predictive model expects the Vikings to be the 2nd-most pass-focused offense in football near the end zone (in a neutral context) at the moment with a 64.2% red zone pass rate.

The pass attacks of both teams (in terms of both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (meaning zero wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may decline.

The predictive model expects Carson Wentz to throw 35.8 passes in this contest, on average: the 9th-most among all quarterbacks.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Given their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Vikings are expected by the predictive model to run only 62.7 offensive plays in this contest: the 7th-lowest number on the slate this week.

The Vikings have called the 4th-fewest plays in the NFL this year, averaging a mere 52.8 plays per game.

This year, the formidable Philadelphia Eagles defense has yielded a puny 64.9% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing QBs: the 3rd-best rate in football.

This year, the formidable Eagles defense has surrendered a feeble 1.17 passing touchdowns per game to opposing quarterbacks: the 5th-lowest rate in the league.

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