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Carson Wentz

Carson Wentz Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 8

Los Angeles Chargers vs Minnesota Vikings

Carson Wentz Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-118/-113).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 10.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 10.5 @ -118.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Carson Wentz has been a much bigger part of his offense's run game this year (12.8% Carry Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last year (0.0%).

This year, the stout Los Angeles Chargers run defense has surrendered a feeble 5.13 adjusted yards-per-carry to the opposition's ground game: the 27th-best rate in the NFL.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Vikings will be rolling out backup QB Carson Wentz in this week's game, which typically means fewer pass attempts and more rushing.

A passing game script is implied by the Vikings being a -3-point underdog in this week's game.

Our trusted projections expect the Vikings to be the 6th-least run-oriented team on the slate this week with a 38.8% run rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

Based on their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Minnesota Vikings are expected by the model to run just 63.1 offensive plays in this game: the 7th-lowest number on the slate this week.

The weatherman calls for 0-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means increased pass volume, and lower ground volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.

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