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Carson Wentz

Carson Wentz Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 4

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Minnesota Vikings

 
 
 
Carson Wentz Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-118/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 7.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 7.5 @ -110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Vikings have been the 6th-most run-heavy offense in football (in a neutral context) this year with a 41.3% run rate.
  • Our trusted projections expect the Minnesota Vikings offense to be the 7th-fastest paced team in football (adjusted for context) right now, averaging 27.63 seconds per snap.
  • The Minnesota Vikings have played in the 3rd-most "low wind" (4-mph or less) games in the NFL since the start of last season, which should result in reduced pass volume, increased running volume, and reduced passing attack results when facing windier conditions in this game.
  • Our trusted projections expect Carson Wentz to be much more involved in his team's running game in this week's contest (17.1% projected Carry Share) than he has been since the start of last season (1.2% in games he has played).
  • As it relates to the defensive tackles' role in stopping the run, Pittsburgh's unit has been awful since the start of last season, projecting as the 3rd-worst in the NFL. in the NFL.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Vikings will be forced to utilize backup quarterback Carson Wentz in this contest, which typically means fewer pass attempts and more rushes.
  • Since the start of last season, the deficient Steelers run defense has surrendered a staggering 4.17 adjusted yards-per-carry (YPC) to the opposition's run game: the 27th-biggest rate in football.

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