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Carson Wentz Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 215.5 (-111/-111).
The money has been on the Over as it opened 210.5 @ +104 before it was bet up to 215.5 @ -111.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
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The Vikings will be forced to utilize backup quarterback Carson Wentz in this contest, which typically means fewer pass attempts and more rushes.Our trusted projections expect the Minnesota Vikings offense to be the 7th-fastest paced team in football (adjusted for context) right now, averaging 27.63 seconds per snap.Opposing QBs have thrown for the 10th-most adjusted yards in football (231.0 per game) vs. the Steelers defense since the start of last season.Since the start of last season, the anemic Pittsburgh Steelers defense has been gouged for the 3rd-most adjusted yards-per-target in the league to opposing teams: a staggering 8.20 yards.As it relates to linebackers in pass coverage, Pittsburgh's collection of LBs has been lousy since the start of last season, profiling as the worst in the NFL.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
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Based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Minnesota Vikings to pass on 56.1% of their plays: the 11th-lowest rate among all teams this week.The Minnesota Vikings have played in the 3rd-most "low wind" (4-mph or less) games in the NFL since the start of last season, which should result in reduced pass volume, increased running volume, and reduced passing attack results when facing windier conditions in this game.The predictive model expects Carson Wentz to attempt 33.1 passes in this week's game, on balance: the 11th-fewest out of all quarterbacks.
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