Carson Wentz Passing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 3

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NFL · Player Props

Carson Wentz

QB · Washington Commanders

Passing Yards

Washington Commanders vs Philadelphia Eagles · Week 3, 2022

Updated Sep 25, 2022 11:30 PM UTC

Analysis

Carson Wentz Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 250.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 249.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 250.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Commanders are a 6-point underdog in this week's game, which points towards a passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Washington Commanders as the 5th-least pass-heavy team among all teams this week with a 62.6% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 3rd-most plays run on the slate this week at 126.9 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects Carson Wentz to attempt 35.8 passes in this week's game, on average: the 6th-most of all quarterbacks.
The Washington Commanders O-line ranks as the 6th-best in football since the start of last season in pass protection, which has a positive impact on all pass game metrics across the board.

Favors Under

The weather report calls for 12-mph wind in this game. High wind typically means lower pass volume (and increased run volume) and lessened passing effectiveness.
The Philadelphia Eagles pass defense has shown strong efficiency since the start of last season, surrendering 6.94 yards-per-target: the 3rd-least in the league.
The Philadelphia Eagles defense has been quite strong when opposing pass-catchers have gotten into space, yielding an average of 4.97 yards-after-the-catch since the start of last season: the 5th-least in the league.
The Philadelphia Eagles cornerbacks project as the best collection of CBs in the NFL since the start of last season in covering pass-catchers.
The Philadelphia Eagles defense has gotten pressure on opposing QBs a mere 2.40 seconds after the snap (on average), grading out as the 7th-fastest in the NFL since the start of last season.