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Carson Wentz

Carson Wentz Completions
Player Prop Week 8

Los Angeles Chargers vs Minnesota Vikings

Carson Wentz Completions Prop is currently Over/Under 21.5 (-106/-101).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 20.5 @ -102 before it was bet up to 21.5 @ -106.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Vikings will be rolling out backup QB Carson Wentz in this week's game, which typically means fewer pass attempts and more rushing.

A passing game script is implied by the Vikings being a -3-point underdog in this week's game.

The predictive model expects the Vikings to be the 6th-most pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 61.2% pass rate, based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.

The weatherman calls for 0-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means increased pass volume, and lower ground volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.

Carson Wentz has attempted 36.9 throws per game this year, grading out in the 89th percentile among QBs.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Based on their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Minnesota Vikings are expected by the model to run just 63.1 offensive plays in this game: the 7th-lowest number on the slate this week.

Opposing offenses have completed passes at the 5th-lowest clip in the NFL against the Chargers defense this year (65.8% Adjusted Completion%).

As it relates to cornerbacks in pass coverage, Los Angeles's unit has been very good this year, grading out as the 2nd-best in the NFL.

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