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Carson Wentz Completions Prop is currently Over/Under 19.5 (+105/-135).
The money has been on the Under as it opened 19.5 @ -114 before it was bet down to 19.5 @ -135.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
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The Vikings will be forced to utilize backup quarterback Carson Wentz in this contest, which typically means fewer pass attempts and more rushes.Our trusted projections expect the Minnesota Vikings offense to be the 7th-fastest paced team in football (adjusted for context) right now, averaging 27.63 seconds per snap.Since the start of last season, the porous Steelers defense has given up a staggering 72.1% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing offenses: the 10th-worst rate in football.As it relates to linebackers in pass coverage, Pittsburgh's collection of LBs has been lousy since the start of last season, profiling as the worst in the NFL.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
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Based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Minnesota Vikings to pass on 56.1% of their plays: the 11th-lowest rate among all teams this week.The Minnesota Vikings have played in the 3rd-most "low wind" (4-mph or less) games in the NFL since the start of last season, which should result in reduced pass volume, increased running volume, and reduced passing attack results when facing windier conditions in this game.The predictive model expects Carson Wentz to attempt 33.1 passes in this week's game, on balance: the 11th-fewest out of all quarterbacks.
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