Carson Wentz Completions - Player Prop Bet Week 5

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Carson Wentz

NFL · Player Props

Carson Wentz

QB · Washington Commanders

Completions

Washington Commanders vs Tennessee Titans · Week 5, 2022

Updated Oct 9, 2022 11:15 PM UTC

Analysis

Carson Wentz Completions Prop is currently Over/Under 22.5 (-125/-103).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Washington Commanders have run the 6th-most plays in football this year, averaging a whopping 67.0 plays per game.
Carson Wentz has attempted 45.4 throws per game this year, checking in at the 94th percentile among QBs.
Opposing teams have averaged 37.5 pass attempts per game against the Tennessee Titans defense this year: 10th-most in the NFL.
Opposing teams have completed passes at the highest rate in the NFL vs. the Tennessee Titans defense this year (77.7%).
The Tennessee Titans cornerbacks project as the 6th-worst collection of CBs in the NFL this year in covering pass-catchers.

Favors Under

The Washington Commanders offensive line profiles as the 10th-worst in the league this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a negative effect on all air attack statistics across the board.
The Washington Commanders have gone up against a stacked the box on a mere 12.2% of their plays since the start of last season, 6th-least in the league. Bringing an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.
The Tennessee Titans have stacked the box versus opponents on just 10.1% of their plays since the start of last season, 4th-least in the league. Choosing not to position an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves pass defense at the expense of run-stopping.

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