Carson Wentz Completions - Player Prop Bet Week 2

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Carson Wentz

NFL · Player Props

Carson Wentz

QB · Washington Commanders

Completions

Detroit Lions vs Washington Commanders · Week 2, 2022

Updated Sep 18, 2022 7:25 PM UTC

Analysis

Carson Wentz Completions Prop is currently Over/Under 21.5 (-114/-114).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 21.5 @ -102 before it was bet down to 21.5 @ -114.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Commanders rank as the 6th-most pass-heavy offense in the NFL (context-neutralized) since the start of last season with a 70.9% pass rate.
THE BLITZ projects the Washington Commanders offense to be the 9th-fastest paced team in the NFL (adjusted for context) at the moment, averaging 26.30 seconds per snap.
This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing efficiency.
The Washington Commanders O-line grades out as the 6th-best in football since the start of last season in protecting the quarterback, which has a positive impact on all pass attack stats across the board.
The Detroit Lions safeties project as the 2nd-worst collection of safeties in the NFL since the start of last season in covering receivers.

Favors Under

Opposing teams have averaged 31.7 pass attempts per game against the Detroit Lions defense since the start of last season: 6th-least in the NFL.
The Washington Commanders have been faced with a stacked the box on a measly 12.2% of their plays since the start of last season, 6th-least in the league. Keeping an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.

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