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Carson Wentz

Carson Wentz Carries
Player Prop Week 3

Minnesota Vikings vs Cincinnati Bengals

 
 
 
Carson Wentz Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+101/-129).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ +104 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ +101.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • A rushing game script is implied by the Vikings being a 3-point favorite in this week's game.
  • The Vikings have been the 7th-most run-focused offense in football (adjusted for context) this year with a 41.2% run rate.
  • While Carson Wentz has earned 0.0% of his team's carries in games he has played last year, the predictive model expects him to be a more integral piece of Minnesota's rushing attack in this week's game at 17.9%.
  • As it relates to the linebackers' role in defending against the run, Cincinnati's unit has been lousy since the start of last season, projecting as the 7th-worst in football. in football.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Vikings will be forced to start backup quarterback Carson Wentz in this week's contest, which typically means fewer pass attempts and more rushing.
  • The leading projections forecast the Minnesota Vikings to be the 3rd-slowest paced defense in the NFL (in a neutral context) at the present time, causing opposing offenses to average 29.13 seconds per play.
  • The air attacks of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (read: zero wind) inside this dome, while run volume may suffer.

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