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Cameron Ward

Cameron Ward Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 3

Tennessee Titans vs Indianapolis Colts

 
 
 
Cameron Ward Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+620/-920).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +620 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +620.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • A passing game script is implied by the Titans being a -6-point underdog this week.
  • Since the start of last season, the weak Indianapolis Colts defense has been torched for a staggering 75.5% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing QBs: the worst rate in football.
  • Since the start of last season, the porous Colts defense has given up a staggering 1.63 passing touchdowns per game to opposing QBs: the 7th-biggest rate in the league.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The model projects the Tennessee Titans to be the 8th-least pass-centric team in the league (context-neutralized) right now with a 58.4% pass rate.
  • Our trusted projections expect the Titans to run the 5th-fewest plays on offense among all teams this week with 61.7 plays, based on their underlying propensities and game dynamics.
  • The Titans O-line ranks as the 7th-worst in the league since the start of last season in protecting the QB, which has a negative influence on all pass game metrics across the board.
  • The Indianapolis Colts safeties project as the 3rd-best safety corps in the NFL since the start of last season in covering receivers.

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