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Cameron Ward

Cameron Ward TD Passes
Player Prop Week 7

Tennessee Titans vs New England Patriots

 
 
 
Cameron Ward TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-270/+210).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ -192 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ +210.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Titans are an enormous 7-point underdog in this game, which points towards an extreme passing game script.
  • The model projects the Tennessee Titans to be the 9th-most pass-oriented team in the NFL near the end zone (in a neutral context) right now with a 57.6% red zone pass rate.
  • This year, the poor New England Patriots defense has conceded a whopping 75.6% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing teams: the 6th-largest rate in the NFL.
  • The Patriots cornerbacks profile as the 8th-worst collection of CBs in the NFL this year in defending receivers.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Based on their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Titans are forecasted by our trusted projection set to call just 62.5 plays on offense in this contest: the 6th-fewest on the slate this week.
  • Windy weather conditions (like the 19-mph being forecasted in this game) typically correlate with lessened passing efficiency, lower air volume, and increased ground volume.

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