reorder

Cameron Ward TD Passes
Player Prop Week 16

Tennessee Titans vs Kansas City Chiefs

Cameron Ward TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-196/+152).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ -188 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ -196.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Titans are a 3-point underdog in this week's contest, indicating a passing game script.

At the moment, the 7th-most pass-oriented offense in the league in the red zone (59.9% adjusted for context) according to the model is the Titans.

This year, the shaky Chiefs defense has been gouged for a colossal 74.9% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing quarterbacks: the 2nd-largest rate in the NFL.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The model projects the Titans to call the 8th-fewest offensive plays on the slate this week with 63.5 plays, accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics.

The Tennessee Titans have run the 8th-fewest plays in the NFL this year, totaling a measly 54.9 plays per game.

Opposing teams teams have been afraid to lean on the pass against the Kansas City Chiefs, averaging the 10th-fewest attempts in the NFL (a mere 31.7 per game) this year.

This year, the imposing Kansas City Chiefs defense has allowed a paltry 1.07 TDs through the air per game to opposing offenses: the 5th-smallest rate in the NFL.

As it relates to cornerbacks in pass coverage, Kansas City's CB corps has been one of the most skilled this year, profiling as the best in the NFL.

More Cameron Ward Player Props

Cameron Ward TD PassesPlayer Prop Week 16

Tennessee Titans vs Kansas City Chiefs

Cameron Ward TD Passes
Player Prop Week 16