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Cameron Ward

Cameron Ward TD Passes
Player Prop Week 14

Cleveland Browns vs Tennessee Titans

 
 
 
Cameron Ward TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-176/+138).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ +142 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ +138.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • This week's line indicates a throwing game script for the Titans, who are -3.5-point underdogs.
  • At the moment, the 7th-most pass-centric offense in football in the red zone (59.9% context-neutralized) according to the predictive model is the Tennessee Titans.
  • Given the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this contest is forecasted by the projection model to have 131.8 offensive plays run: the 3rd-most on the slate this week.
  • When it comes to cornerbacks in covering pass-catchers, Cleveland's unit has been easily exploitable this year, grading out as the 6th-worst in football.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Our trusted projections expect the Tennessee Titans to be the 9th-least pass-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 54.4% pass rate, accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.
  • The 10th-fewest plays in football have been run by the Titans this year (a mere 55.2 per game on average).
  • Windy weather conditions (like the 13-mph being projected in this game) usually cause worse passing effectiveness, lower air attack volume, and higher run volume.
  • Opposing teams teams have been hesitant to test the pass defense of the Cleveland Browns, totaling the 5th-fewest attempts in football (a mere 30.3 per game) this year.

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