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Cameron Ward

Cameron Ward Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 4

Houston Texans vs Tennessee Titans

 
 
 
Cameron Ward Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 8.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 6.5 @ -105.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Given the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this game is anticipated by the predictive model to see 129.3 offensive plays run: the 5th-most out of all the games this week.
  • The Houston Texans linebackers grade out as the 8th-worst unit in the NFL since the start of last season in regard to stopping the run.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • This game's spread indicates an extreme passing game script for the Titans, who are huge -7.5-point underdogs.
  • Given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Titans to run on 40.1% of their downs: the 9th-lowest frequency on the slate this week.
  • The pass attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (as in zero wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may decline.
  • The Texans defense owns the 7th-best efficiency against opposing ground games since the start of last season, conceding just 4.20 adjusted yards-per-carry (YPC).

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