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Cameron Ward

Cameron Ward Passing Yards
Player Prop Week 4

Houston Texans vs Tennessee Titans

 
 
 
Cameron Ward Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 190.5 (+105/-140).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 187.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 190.5 @ +105.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • This game's spread indicates an extreme passing game script for the Titans, who are huge -7.5-point underdogs.
  • The model projects the Tennessee Titans to be the 9th-most pass-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 59.9% pass rate, given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.
  • Given the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this game is anticipated by the predictive model to see 129.3 offensive plays run: the 5th-most out of all the games this week.
  • The pass attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (as in zero wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may decline.
  • As it relates to safeties in defending pass-catchers, Houston's safety corps has been awful since the start of last season, projecting as the 6th-worst in the league.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • As it relates to protecting the quarterback (and the significance it has on all pass attack stats), the offensive line of the Titans ranks as the 9th-worst in the league since the start of last season.
  • Since the start of last season, the formidable Texans defense has conceded a meager 64.5% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing quarterbacks: the smallest rate in the NFL.
  • The Houston Texans pass defense has displayed good efficiency since the start of last season, giving up 7.03 adjusted yards-per-target: the 3rd-fewest in football.

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