Cameron Brate Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 2

NFL · Player Props

Cameron Brate

TE · Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Receiving Yards

New Orleans Saints vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers · Week 2, 2022

Updated Sep 18, 2022 7:30 PM UTC

Analysis

Cameron Brate Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 22.5 (+100/-132).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 22.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 22.5 @ -132.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Tampa Bay Buccaneers as the most pass-heavy team among all teams this week with a 65.6% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects this game to see the smallest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 134.3 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have run the 4th-most plays in football since the start of last season, totaling a whopping 65.5 plays per game.
This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
THE BLITZ projects Cameron Brate to accrue 5.3 targets this week, on average, putting him in the 89th percentile among tight ends.

Favors Under

Cameron Brate has been among the most unreliable receivers in the NFL among tight ends, catching a mere 61.4% of passes thrown his way since the start of last season, grading out in the 13th percentile.
Cameron Brate has been among the least effective pass-catchers in football among TEs, averaging a lowly 5.75 yards-per-target since the start of last season while ranking in the 5th percentile.
Cameron Brate has been among the weakest TEs in the league at generating extra yardage, averaging a mere 2.74 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) since the start of last season while checking in at the 2nd percentile.
The New Orleans Saints defense has yielded the 4th-least receiving yards per game in the league (just 36.0) to tight ends since the start of last season.
The New Orleans Saints pass defense has conceded the 2nd-lowest Completion% in the NFL (62.8%) vs. tight ends since the start of last season (62.8%).