Cameron Brate Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 12

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Cameron Brate

NFL · Player Props

Cameron Brate

TE · Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Receiving Yards

Cleveland Browns vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers · Week 12, 2022

Updated Nov 27, 2022 8:36 PM EST

Analysis

Cameron Brate Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (+105/-135).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 16.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 16.5 @ -135.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Tampa Bay Buccaneers to be the 3rd-most pass-oriented team on the slate this week with a 63.7% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 2nd-most plays run among all games this week at 135.3 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have run the 2nd-most plays in the league this year, averaging a monstrous 63.2 plays per game.
Cameron Brate has run fewer routes this year (62.2% Route% in games he has played) than he did last year (41.6%).
Cameron Brate has compiled a colossal 26.0 air yards per game this year: 81st percentile among TEs.

Favors Under

The Buccaneers are a 3.5-point favorite in this game, which points towards a rushing game script.
The forecast calls for 12-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means reduced pass volume (and increased run volume) and worse passing effectiveness.
Opposing offenses have averaged 29.3 pass attempts per game against the Cleveland Browns defense this year: 3rd-least in football.
Cameron Brate's possession skills have tailed off this year, with his Completion% shrinking from 63.1% to 59.5%.
Cameron Brate has been among the least efficient receivers in the league among TEs, averaging a mere 5.19 yards-per-target this year while grading out in the 9th percentile.

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