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Cameron Brate

Cameron Brate Receiving TD
Player Prop Week 6

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Cameron Brate Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+362/-721).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -636 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -721.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 3rd-highest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 135.3 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

Opposing teams have averaged 39.2 pass attempts per game against the Pittsburgh Steelers defense this year: 6th-most in football.

Cameron Brate has been a big part of his team's passing offense near the end zone, garnering a Red Zone Target Share of 13.3% this year, which places him in the 78th percentile among tight ends.

Cameron Brate has accrued a monstrous 30.0 air yards per game this year: 87th percentile among tight ends.

Cameron Brate's 25.2 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume stat that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been substantially higher this year than it was last year at 15.8.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Buccaneers are a big 9.5-point favorite this week, which points towards an extreme rushing game script.

Cameron Brate's ball-catching skills have diminished this year, with his Completion% decreasing from 63.1% to 58.1%.

Cameron Brate grades out in the 1st percentile among TEs as it relates to catching touchdowns this year, averaging a lowly 0.00 per game.

The Pittsburgh Steelers safeties profile as the 7th-best safety corps in the league this year in regard to rushing the passer.

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers O-line has allowed their quarterback just 2.30 seconds before the pass (2nd-worst in the NFL since the start of last season), which has a negative impact on all pass game metrics across the board.

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