Cam Sims Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 9

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Cam Sims

NFL · Player Props

Cam Sims

WR · Washington Commanders

Receiving Yards

Washington Commanders vs Minnesota Vikings · Week 9, 2022

Updated Nov 7, 2022 12:21 AM EST

Analysis

Cam Sims Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-115/-115).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Washington Commanders will be rolling out backup QB Taylor Heinicke in this game, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rushes.
The Commanders are a 3-point underdog in this week's contest, likely leading to a passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 3rd-largest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 131.8 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Washington Commanders have called the 6th-most plays in the league this year, averaging a colossal 62.2 plays per game.
The Minnesota Vikings defense has given up the 5th-most receiving yards per game in the NFL (178.0) versus wide receivers this year.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Washington Commanders to be the 6th-least pass-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 55.9% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
Cam Sims has been been lightly used his team's passing offense, earning a Target Share of just 3.7% this year, which ranks in the 20th percentile among WRs.
The Washington Commanders O-line profiles as the 2nd-worst in football this year in pass protection, which has a harmful effect on all passing game metrics across the board.
Cam Sims has posted a lot fewer receiving yards per game (8.0) this year than he did last year (24.0).
Cam Sims has been among the most unreliable receivers in the league, completing a measly 37.7% of passes thrown his way this year, ranking in the 10th percentile among WRs

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